The luxury enclave saw the return of buying interest on the back of an improving global economy, report STEVEN MING and ZENG ZHEN
Published September 23, 2010
STEVEN MING and ZENG ZHEN
SENTOSA Cove, Singapore's first gated waterfront residential enclave located on the eastern shores of Sentosa island, is taking shape with the completion of some 920 upscale condominium units and 200 waterfront and hillside bungalows since its inception in 2004. In tandem with the buoyant home sales on the mainland and coupled with the opening of the integrated resorts (IRs), the luxury enclave of Sentosa Cove saw the return of buying interest on the back of an improving global economy.
There are now nine condominium and seven landed housing developments for sale. The most recent launches include City Developments' 228-unit The Residences at W Singapore Sentosa Cove, and Ho Bee & IOI's 151-unit Seascape, both of which saw good take-up.
Non-landed
Amid favourable market conditions, sales remain strong for non-landed residential homes in Sentosa Cove. There were 104 sales transactions registered from January to July 2010.
Despite falling short of the 130 sales transactions recorded for 2009, the sales value for the first seven months of 2010 has outperformed that of last year, with $541 million recorded thus far compared with $497.9 million in 2009.
With the release of new projects, the primary market enjoyed a 430 per cent increase in volume, albeit from a relatively low base in the previous year. In the secondary market, because only The Oceanfront@Sentosa Cove received Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP) in March this year, the sub-sale activity has turned relatively quiet with only 21 caveats, down from 101 in 2009, whilst resale activity has firmed up by 57.9 per cent from 19 in 2009 to 30 transactions.
The first seven months of this year have seen rising prices across the board. Fuelled by higher prices of new launches in the vicinity, the prices of projects that were launched before 2010 have shown an increase ranging from 2.2 per cent to 30.8 per cent, with some surpassing their previous peaks in 2007.
As a result, the average price of non-landed residential in Sentosa Cove has soared from $1,691 per sq ft in 2009 to $2,344 per sq ft in 2010, representing a 38.6 per cent increase.
Appreciation in capital values of non-landed homes has lent support to the investment activities in Sentosa Cove, especially the sub-sale transactions in those projects approaching TOP dates.
Caveat matches of 19 sub-sales from January to July show that 94.7 per cent, or 18 sub-sales, yielded a profit between $179,400 and $3.06 million, significantly higher than the 71.7 per cent for the whole of 2009.
In addition, the average gain per unit almost doubled from $600,025 in 2009 to $1.16 million in the first seven months of 2010. This was a result of increased percentage of sub-sales that yielded gains exceeding $1 million.
So far this year, the sub-sales of nine units in The Oceanfront@Sentosa Cove have earned profits from $1,005,970 to $3,056,700, accounting for 47.4 per cent of the total profitable sub-sales.
On the other hand, there were only seven out of the 67 profitable sub-sales that reaped a profit of more than $1 million in the preceding year.
Landed
Unlike Good Class Bungalows (GCBs) on the mainland, the landed housing segment in Sentosa Cove is unique as it offers an exclusive waterfront.
More importantly, the landed houses in Sentosa Cove appeal to a wider market as foreigners who do not have permanent residence status are allowed to purchase them.
According to the caveats lodged between January and July 2010, 39 landed houses in Sentosa Cove have been sold, only one less than the total recorded for the whole of 2009. The transaction value has surged by 20.5 per cent from $507.3 million in 2009 to $611.3 million in the first seven months of 2010, attributed to the 19 houses costing more than $15 million each that were transacted during this period. In stark contrast, there were only nine transactions above $15 million in the preceding years from 2005 to 2009.
Of these 39 sales, foreign buyers chalked up 19 transactions or 48.7 per cent, with Chinese investors being the most dominant, inking 12 transactions, or 63.2 per cent, of all foreign purchases in the reviewed period. The Chinese buyers have ranked top among the foreigners since 2009; overtaking the Indonesians.
The average unit price based on land area climbed from $1,568 per sq ft in 2009 to $1,892 per sq ft in 2010, up by 20.7 per cent. In terms of unit price, the most expensive home sold this year was a terrace house in The Villas@Sentosa Cove which was transacted at $8 million or $2,929 per sq ft in May.
Interestingly, this house was first bought in June 2007 from the developer for $4.6 million or $1,682 per sq ft, yielding the vendor a profit of $3.4 million.
Outlook
On the economic front, Singapore has probably not seen better days. The government has revised the GDP growth forecast for 2010 up to 15 per cent from its previous forecast of 7 to 9 per cent.
Despite this, the market is not absolutely immune from external downside factors. Market sentiment has been affected by the rising concerns over the uncertainty of US economic recovery and the eurozone debt crisis. Meanwhile, the government's latest tightening measures, coupled with the ample supply from the government land sales programme, has cast a cloud over the property market.
Nevertheless, we expect that these cooling measures would have limited impact on the luxury developments in Sentosa Cove. The government's measures are designed to curb speculation, especially in the mass-market and public housing re-sale segments.
Still, the sales activity in Sentosa Cove may soften in the near term as buyers adopt a wait-and-see approach to the new measures.
However, the broader fundamentals for the private residential market are still good, and driven by the low interest environment, and abundant liquidity from Asia's booming wealth, Sentosa Cove would continue to attract both local and foreign buyers who take a mid to longer term view of the market.
Steven Ming is executive director, Savills Singapore and Zeng Zhen, senior manager, Savills Research & Consultancy
Source: http://www.businesstimes.com.sg
